FLORIDA –5 ½
ALABAMA 41
Last year I was very fortunate to be able to attend this ball game and I felt that it was one of the better ball games that I have ever seen live. In 4TH qt I witnessed a man take over a ball game like I have never seen before. Tebow completed passes in that quarter that I didn’t think were possible. Having said that I have been reading things this week about how dominant Florida and Tebow was last year in this very same game. What I am not reading is how less dominate Tebow has been this year after he was laid out in the Kentucky game. Lets just look at the scores alone. (NOTE: ONLY SEC GAMES WILL BE FIGURED IN ALL OF MY STATS AND AVERAGES) The Gators have scored 255 points in all 8 games this year compared to 360 last year. That’s 2 TD’s per game that they are scoring less this year than last. And on the defensive side of the ball the gators are giving up almost the exact same with 12.4 in 08 and 12 in 09. I honestly feel that this can be contributed to a couple of things. I think that when Florida played UT that Myer had a very conservative game plan and new he didn’t need to score many points to win, same against LSU. The LSU game alone Fla scored 38 points less than the year before. And in the So Carolina game the gators scored 32 points less. They are a much more conservative team this year and Vegas obviously agrees seeing that both of these teams on defense are not that much better from the year before but yet the total in the game is 2 TD’s less than last year. Alabama on offense is scoring just 1 point less per SEC contest and giving up just 2 points less than last years D from 12.6 in 08 and 10.6 in 09. And Bama is scoring 6 points less than last years team even with a heisman contender in Mark Ingram, even though I think Coffee is a better RB than Ingram.
With all this said I feel the game will come down to McClains ability to read the misdirection plays that Florida will be throwing at him. I don’t think he did a very good job against Auburn and if the Bama nation thinks that Auburn runs a high school offense and that’s the only reason why they were able to score on them then what do you call Florida’s offense when Tebow pitches it inside to a TE or Demps runs around for a reverse or when Tebow fakes a run up the middle and does a F’n jump pass? What do you call that offense Tide fans? What ever it is it works when you have talent and Florida has plenty of that. As for my pick…. I started this blog out with full intentions of picking Bama to win out right. I even called the radio show this morning and picked Bama but the more I look into this game the more I realize that Florida is a better football team and they flat out know how to win ball games. In the 4th Qt when the game is on the line, who would you pick Tebow or Mcleroy? I think Bama may keep it close, may even cover but the Gators go back to the National Title and my pick on the game is the OVER!! Something like a 27 – 23 type ball game maybe 27 – 20. either way the game goes over.
THE PANEL AS A GROUP WAS A COMPLETE TOSS UP. WE WERE ALL OVER THE BOARD.
BIG EAST CHAMPIONSHIP
Cincinnati –2.5 wins BIG, REALLY BIG. I mean come on, who is Pitt? Who is that guy with the porn star mustache on their side lines that calls himself a coach. I know with all the hype around Kelly going to Notre Dame everyone thinks it’s a distraction but I can assure you that he has this team ready and Cinncy wins by double digits as a small favorite.
PAC 10 - 7 point dog that wins out right Washington beats Cal out right as a 7 point dog. With Best out Cal has shown that they cant do anything, take the Huskies and win BIG!!
"the degenerate gamblers guide to talking shit, telling stories, and giving horrible advice on picks"
Friday, December 4, 2009
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